Friday, 18 September 2009

NASA Doesn't Receive Enough Money for Mandated Asteroid Search

asteroid_earth_impact

If Earthlings discovered a large asteroid heading towards ourplanet, how would we react? But more importantly would thespace agencies and/or world governments be prepared for such an event? "Mankind is now technically able to predict, sometimes several decades in advance, the trajectory ofNear Earth Objects (NEOs)," said Frans von der Dunk, professor of space law at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln. "Additionally, existing space technology could deflect the vast majority of threatening asteroids." But even if a threatening object is discovered, von der Dunk said no mechanism exists for effective international decision-making on how to deal with a threat. To examine these issues, UNL hosted a conference on April 23 & 24, "Near-Earth Objects: Risks, Responses and Opportunities,” to look at the legal and institutional challenges of creating an international protocol of dealing with NEOs.

NEOs are an increasing area of concern among the world’s space scientists. Many experts believe that over the next 15 years, advances in technology will allow for the detection of more than 500,000 NEOs – and of those, several dozen will likely pose an uncomfortably high risk of striking Earth and inflicting local or regional damage.

Concept for a possible gravity tractor. Credit: JPL

Concept for a possible gravity tractor. Credit: JPL


Right now, if an Earth-bound asteroid were discovered, we have the technology today to send a spacecraft to an asteroid to act as a gravity tractor, or to impact the asteroid to alter the space rock's trajectory. Other current options are to use a mass driver, rocket engines or a solar sail to push the asteroid on a different course.

But, von der Dunk told Universe Today, completely lacking is an official structure for preparation, planning and timely decision-making in the event of a potential collision, as well as what country or entity would have the authorization and responsibility to act, or take care of the financial implications.

Von der Dunk hopes the conference will shed more light on these issues.

"We hope to accomplish two things," he said. "One is to generate more attention to this problem and make sure it will remain on people's agenda, even though we recognize there are more immediate pressing global concerns, such as climate change or economic issues." But even in terms of economic concerns von der Dunk said making decisions now aboutasteroid deflection is worthwhile because we can develop a proper process which could save millions or billions of dollars.

Instead of using scenarios like the movies "Deep Impact" or "Armageddon" – the typical Hollywood approach, von der Dunk said, we could take action early in the game. "Gravity tractors only require a couple of million dollars in cost."

The other goal of the conference is to shed more insight into the protocols and legal issues of an Earth-bound asteroid. "What protocols should be followed to tackle the problem, what threshold would be sufficient to start taking action, who should take the action, who should pay for it, and who would be liable if something goes wrong? Those are the types of issues that we are putting on the table."

While the actual capacities to take action against an NEO are still limited to a few space-fairing nations, von der Dunk said there's also the possibility of global political fallout if there is a divergence between them. "One country may decide at a certain point not to bother about it, while another country with a greater chance of being hit, might want to take action," he said. "The idea is to create a protocol and procedure of how we deal with these things to try to avoid the worst political fallout from happening, so if tomorrow, or ten years or hundred years from now and we know we have an asteroid heading in our direction we know we can actually do something about it and have a general legal understanding of how things will work."

Von der Dunk specializes in space law and is a member of a panel created by theAssociation of Space Explorers, chaired by Apollo astronaut Rusty Schweickart. Von der Dunk has looked at what current protocols could be used in the event of an impendingasteroid hit, but says nothing really exists. "I have looked at this issue and it quickly became clear to me that the current international treaty dealing with liability simply never foresaw the possibility of something going wrong in a case such as if the asteroid were deflected and then hit a different part of Earth than where it originally was going to hit," he said. "And then a lawyer would be faced with taking some existing clauses which come closest and stretching them beyond what they were ever meant to be. We need to consider drafting a new international treaty agreement for this. At the conference we will discuss what such a treaty should look like, how should we phrase it, what particulars should be targeted."

A number of members of Schweickart's panel will be presenting at the conference, as well as "speakers from outside the community to broaden the issue," von der Dunk said. "We will take stock of what is happening now, is it going in the right direction, discuss in more detail some of the legal issues such as liability, and add to that something in a more positive tone. Asteroids are not only about 'deep impact," but also about the possibilities of creating access to potentially very valuable minerals. If someone is going to mine an asteroid, we need the appropriate legal framework for that."

Von der Dunk said attendees of the conference are lawyers, policy makers, members of think-tanks, and government representatives. Other speakers include former NASA astronaut Tom Jones, and Vice-Chairman of the United Nations Committee on the Peaceful Use of Outer Space (COPUOS), Ciro Arevalo.

The conference ends today with a simulation led by Dr. Eligar Sadeh of the Eisenhower Center For Space & Defense Studies of what actions and decisions would need to be made in the event of the discovery of an Earth-bound asteroid. "From this we may come to an understanding of why certain decisions have to be made at a certain point in time and how the consequential logic of a process like that flows," von der Dunk said.

First Science Data from LRO; 'Tantalizing' Hints of Water

This image shows daytime and nighttime lunar temperatures recorded by Diviner. Credit: NASA/UCLA

The Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter has successfully completed its testing and calibration phase and is now in its science and mapping orbit of the moon. Already, the spacecraft has made significant progress in creating the most detailed atlas of the moon's south pole, and Thursday mission scientists reported some of the early science results, including "tantalizing" hints of water at the Moon's south pole. So far, the data returned from LRO’s seven instruments “exceed our wildest expectations,” said Richard Vondrak, LRO project scientist at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center . “We’re looking at the moon now with new eyes.”

Last Tuesday, a final maneuver put LRO 50 km (31 miles) above the Moon, closer than any previous orbiter. LRO has already proved its keen eyes, imaging fine details of the Apollo landing sites earlier this summer with the LROC, the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter Camera.

Coldest place in the solar system

According to the first measurements from the Diviner instrument, which has infraredradiation detectors, LRO found that temperatures at about 35 Kelvin, or -238ยบ Celsius deep in some permanently shaded regions. Vondrak said that these bitterly cold regions at the south pole “are perhaps the coldest part of the solar system.” With such cold temperatures, volatiles like water ice could be present, preserved for billions of years.
This image shows neutron flux detections around the lunar south pole from LEND. Credit: NASA/Institute for Space Research (Moscow)
And indeed, first results from LRO's Lunar Exploration Neutron Detector, or LEND instrument found hallmarks of hydrogen—a potential marker of water— not only in deep, dark craters, but in unexpected places as well.

"What it also seems to indicate is that the hydrogen is not confined to permanently shadowed craters," said Vondrak. "Some of the permanently shadowed craters do indeed contain hydrogen. Others, on the other hand, do not appear to have hydrogen. And in addition, there appears to be concentrations of hydrogen that are not confined to the permanently shadowed regions."


Surface topography

This mosaic shows altitude measurements from the LOLA instrument. Credit: NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center

This mosaic shows altitude measurements from the LOLA instrument. Credit: NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center


Data from LRO's Lunar Orbiter Laser Altimeter, or LOLA, give scientists a detailed look at the topography of the lunar south pole, shown here. Red regions are high altitude, and blue regions are low altitude.

Some of the first results have turned up fresh craters, unknown boulders, and smooth sites that would be good landing sites for future humans or robotic missions. However, most regions are filled with rough terrain, which will make in situ exploration difficult. The roughness is probably a result of the lack of atmosphere and absence of erosion from wind or water, according to David Smith, LOLA principal investigator.

Another instrument, LRO's Cosmic Ray Telescope for the Effects of Radiation instrument is exploring the lunar radiation environment and its potential effects on humans during record high, "worst-case" cosmic ray intensities accompanying the extreme solar minimumconditions of this solar cycle, showing damaging amounts of radiation at various points.

This Mini-RF image shows radar imagery of the lunar south pole. Credit: NASA/APL/LPI

This Mini-RF image shows radar imagery of the lunar south pole. Credit: NASA/APL/LPI


The Mini RF Technology Demonstration on LRO has confirmed communications capability and produced detailed radar images of potential targets for LRO's companion mission, LCROSS, the Lunar Crater Observation and Sensing Satellite, which will impact the moon's south pole on Oct. 9.

LRO's prime science mission will last a year.

"The LRO instruments, spacecraft, and ground systems continue to operate essentially flawlessly," said Craig Tooley, LRO project manager at Goddard "The team completed the planned commissioning and calibration activities on time and also got a significant head start collecting data even before we moved to the mission's mapping orbit."

Sunday, 13 September 2009

The New History of Black Holes: 'Co-evolution' Dramatically Alters Dark


Black holes suffer a bad rap. Indicted by the press as gravity monsters, labeled highly secretive by astronomers, and long considered in theoretical circles as mere endpoints of cosmic evolution, these unseen objects are depicted as mysterious drains of destruction and death.

So it may seem odd to reconsider them as indispensable forces of creation.

Yet this is the bright new picture of black holes and their role in the evolution of the universe. Interviews with more than a half dozen experts presently involved in rewriting the slippery history of these elusive objects reveals black holes as galactic sculptors.

In this revised view, which still contains some highly debated facts, fuzzy paragraphs and sketchy initial chapters, black holes are shown to be fundamental forces in the development and ultimate shapes of galaxies and the distribution of stars in them. The new history also shows that a black hole is almost surely a product of the galaxy in which it resides. Neither, it seems, does much without the other.

The emerging theory has a nifty, Darwinist buzzword: co-evolution.

As a thought exercise, co-evolution has been around for less than a decade, or as much as 30 years, depending on who you ask. Many theorists never took it seriously, and no one had much evidence to support it. Only in the past six years or so has it gained steam. And only during the past three years have observations provided rock-solid support and turned co-evolution into the mainstream idea among the cognoscenti in both black hole development and galaxy formation.

"The emerging picture of co-evolving black holes and galaxies has turned our view of black holes on its head," says Meg Urry, an astronomer and professor of physics at Yale University. "Previously, black holes were seen as the endpoints of evolution, the final resting state of most or all of the matter in the universe. Now we believe black holes also play a critical role in the birth of galaxies."

The idea is particularly pertinent to explaining how massive galaxies developed in the first billion years of the universe. And it is so new that just last week theorists got what may be the first direct evidence that galaxies actually did form around the earliest black holes.

Chicken-and-egg question

Like archeologists, astronomers spend most of their careers looking back. They like to gather photons that have been traveling across time and space since well before Earth was born, some 4.5 billion years ago. Rogier Windhorst, an Arizona State University astronomer, has peered just about as deep into the past as anyone, to an era when the universe was roughly 5 percent of its present age.

Black Holes & Co-evolution: A Primer

A merger may have triggered the output of energy in this galaxy, Centaurus A.

The puzzle
Very compact but bright objects called quasars, which can outshine a thousand normal galaxies, were abundant when the universe was less than 10 percent of its present age. Quasars are powered by black holes weighing more than a billion suns. How did they get so big so fast?


The front-running theory
Co-evolution holds that galaxies and supermassive black holes evolve together, each counting on the other for its ultimate heft. If true, and once fully understood, the new theory should help solve the growth puzzle.


The evidence

  • Early quasars appear to be surrounded by large galaxies loaded with tons of gas, which fuels star formation and feeds the black holes, a report last week suggested.

  • Black hole mass increases with galactic bulge mass.

    Near the quasars in time are other, normal galaxies that have likely just passed through a quasar phase, as seen in images releasedearlier this month.
  • Central bulges of stars in many galaxies, such as our Milky Way, are directly related to the masses of the black holes buried inside, as detailed in June of 2000. A galaxy's dimensions seem tied to its black hole's dietary habits.
  • Most black hole mass seems to come from direct consumption (called accretion) of gas, indicating that a black hole needs a surrounding galaxy to grow.


Dark matter is studied in part by examining hot gas clouds like this one.

The dark horse
A halo of mysterious dark matter is thought to infuse the space surrounding each of the bulge-packing galaxies. The invisible gravity generator would play a crucial role in galaxy and black hole construction.


The also-rans
If co-evolution reigns, as most researchers believe, then two older (but not-dead-yet) theories are wrong: that a galaxy forms first and directs the development of a black hole; or that a black hole is generated first, providing the seed around which a galaxy can coalesce. It is also possible that different types of galaxies form by different means, and that co-evolution will only be found to describe one path to galactic adulthood.

-- Robert Roy Britt

Visit SPACE.com each Tuesday for another science feature.Archives

Earlier this month, Windhorst and a colleague, Haojing Yan, released a Hubble Space Telescope image showing the most distant "normal" galaxies ever observed.

Though stretched and distorted by the technique used to spot them (an intervening galaxy cluster was used as a "gravitational lens"), the newfound galaxies, Windhorst's team assures us, resemble our own Milky Way. They are seen as they existed more than 13 billion years ago, within 1 billion years of the Big Bang.

Practically side-by-side in time, discovered in separate observations made as part of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, are compact but bright objects known as quasars. These galaxies-to-be shine brilliantly because, researchers believe, each has a gargantuan black hole at its core, whose mass is equal to a billion suns or more, all packed into a region perhaps smaller than our solar system.

The resulting gravity pulls in nearby gas. The material is accelerated to nearly the speed of light, superheated, and swallowed. The process is not entirely efficient, and there is a byproduct: An enormous amount of energy -- radio waves, X-rays and regular light -- hyper-illuminates the whole scene.

Quasars also seem to be surrounded by halos of dark matter, a cryptic and unseen component of all galaxies. Co-existing around and amongst all this, researchers are coming to realize, is a collapsing region of stars and gas as big or larger than our galaxy.

It was no coincidence that the announcements of the two findings -- distant quasars and normal galaxies --were made together at a meeting of the American Astronomical Society (AAS) Jan. 9. Co-evolution was on the minds of the discoverers.

Among co-evolution's significant impacts is its ability to render mostly moot a longstanding chicken-and-egg question in astronomy: Which came first, the galaxy or the black hole?

"How about both?" Windhorst asks. "You could actually have the galaxy form simultaneously around a growing black hole."

Urry, who was not involved in either finding but was asked to analyze them, explained it this way: "We believe that galaxies and quasars are very intimately connected, that in fact quasars are a phase of galaxy evolution. In our current picture, as every galaxy forms and collapses, it has a brief quasar phase."

So when a quasar goes dormant, what's left are the things we associate with a normal galaxy -- stars and gas swirling around a central and hidden pit of matter.

Quasars are cagey characters, however. (The term is short for quasi-stellar radio source; astronomers first mistook the objects for stars within our galaxy in the early 1960s.) When one is firing, its brightness can exceed a thousand normal galaxies. The quasar outshines its entire host galaxy so significantly that scientists have not been able to see what's really causing all the commotion. That veil is lifting as you read this, however, as telescopic vision extends ever backward in time and data is fed into powerful new computer models.

Evolving idea

Demonstrations of co-evolution began to emerge in the mid-1990s when researchers found hints that the existence of a significant black hole at the center of a galaxy was related to the galaxy's shape, says Martin Haehnelt of the University of Cambridge. Only galaxies with a spherical bulge-like component appear to accommodate supermassive black holes.

Our Milky Way, if it could be viewed edge on, would display a good example of one of these galactic bulges: Imagine the profile of a stereotypical flying saucer, though with a wider and flatter disk. The Milky Way is smaller than many galaxies, however, and it has a correspondingly less massive black hole -- roughly 2.6 million suns worth. It almost surely once had a quasar phase, astronomers say.

At any rate, in the mid-1990s no one knew for sure how prevalent black holes were. Theory and some observational data pointed to the likelihood that they were ubiquitous.

Not So Fast ...

"I think it is still unclear whether black holes play any role in the formation of the first galaxies."

-- Sir Martin Rees
University of Cambridge

Then, in the year 2000, astronomers found solid evidence that black holes lurk deep inside many and probably all galaxies that have the classic central bulge of stars. Further, an analysis showed a direct correlation between the mass in each black hole and the shape and scope of the bulge and the overall size of the galaxy.

At an AAS meeting in June of 2000, John Kormendy of the University of Texas at Austin, presented evidence for 10 mammoth black holes whose masses were related to their galactic bulges. Kormendy worked on a large team of researchers led by University of Michigan astronomer Douglas Richstone. This along with other studies in surrounding months by other teams served as a collective turning point for co-evolution, several researchers now say, advancing it to a stable quantitative footing.

"Subsequently the idea of the co-evolution of galaxies and supermassive black holes became more widely discussed and accepted," Haehnelt says.

Evidence continues to mount. In 2001, two separate teams showed that many smaller galaxies that don't have bulges also do not seem to contain significant black holes.

Over the past six months or so, other important studies have emerged, providing independent confirmation to some of the initial work. Haehnelt: "It becomes more and more clear that supermassive black holes can significantly change the structure and evolution of galaxies."

The first large-scale scientific meeting devoted to co-evolution -- a sure sign of a theory coming into its own -- was held just three months ago, sponsored by the prestigious Carnegie Observatories.

There are many variations on the basic theory of co-evolution. Each version attempts to explain a vexing fact: In the blink of a cosmic eye -- just a half a billion years -- invisible spheres of matter were born, and several gained the mass of a billion or more suns and were driving the shape and texture of swirling agglomerations of newborn stars.

Co-evolution is not a done deal. Perhaps, some have suggested, a huge black hole simply collapses out of a pre-galactic cloud and serves as a ready-made engine to drive further galaxy development. Even staunch supporters of co-evolution say there are still viable theories, not yet refutable, putting the immense black hole in place first, and others that have the galaxy solely responsible for driving the formation of a black hole.

If black holes did grow incrementally, it is unclear whether cooperative construction reigned from the beginning, or if it kicked in after some certain amount of mass was gathered.


"I think it is still unclear whether black holes play any role in the formation of the first galaxies," said Cambridge's Sir Martin Rees, who has collaborated with Haehnelt and who long ago authored some of the first scientific papers on the question.

"Indeed," Sir Martin says, "there is a lot of debate about whether black holes can form in very small galaxies, and whether there is a link between the 'small' holes that form as the endpoint of the evolution of massive stars and the holes of above a million solar masses that exist in the centers of galaxies."


Another dark matter

Infusing itself into the equation is an utter unknown: dark matter. This as-yet-undetected stuff permeates all galaxies, researchers believe. A halo of it surrounds our Milky Way. Dark matter does not interact with light, but it does possess great gravitational prowess, acting as invisible glue to help hold galaxies together.

Dark matter is taken into account in the leading co-evolution models, but only in a general, overall sense. Some researchers, however, think dark matter, more than a black hole, is clearly connected to a galaxy's birth and development.

Just last week, the first possible direct evidence was announced for dark matter halos around early quasars. The finding, by Rennan Barkana of Tel Aviv University and Harvard astronomer Abraham Loeb, appears to be the first glimpse at the anatomy of the most distant quasars. Importantly, it supports the fundamental ideas of co-evolution, Loeb said. But it also makes it clear that dark matter will not be denied a chapter in any book about the theory.

Laura Ferrarese, a Rutgers University physicist, analyzed the new dark matter finding. She says it shows that a supermassive black hole, the stars around it, and an all-encompassing dark matter halo are working in concert to build structure.

An Artist's View


A black hole scarfs gas like a pig at a trough. Slovenly habits generate a byproduct of electromagnetic energy, from radio waves to X-rays, that illuminate the entire pig pen, masking what's going on. That is what makes a quasar.
IMAGE: Aurore Simonnet, Sonoma State University

Taken with other evidence, Ferrarese sees dark matter's role as more significant, or at least more obvious, than many theorists have considered.

"There is an observational correlation between the mass of the black hole and the mass of the dark matter halo, not necessarily the mass of the galaxy itself," she said.

Through this haze of fuzzy information and diverse thinking, theorists must work to explain a stark and staggering fact: Somewhere between 300 million and 800 million years after the Big Bang, the first black holes were born and managed to each gulp down a mass of more than 1 billion suns.

Now before you ponder how these Sumo wrestlers of the early universe must have thrown their weight around in any evolutionary wrestling match, consider this: A black hole typically holds much less than 1 percent of the overall mass of the galaxy it anchors.

Shining light on the dark ages

The early history of black holes -- what went on in the 500 million years leading up to objects observable with current technology -- is tied back to the development of the very first stars. Speculating about it requires first rewinding to the very beginning.

When the universe was born, there was nothing but hydrogen, helium and a little lithium. All this raced outward for about 300,000 years before anything significant happened. The gas was too compacted and therefore too hot to be stable. Gradually, the stuff of space expanded and cooled enough for gas to "recombine and stabilize to neutral states," as scientists put it.

The hydrogen was still too hot to form stars, so more expansion was needed. A long stretch of boring darkness ensued, during which some ripples began to ruffle the otherwise smooth fabric of space.

"For 300 million years, nothing happened," explains Windhorst, the Arizona State University astronomer. "The universe is just sitting there. Then all of a sudden the first stars began to shine."

The exact timing for first light is not known. But the ensuing 500 million years are the so-called dark ages of cosmology. Or more precisely, they represent the illuminations of the universe and the elimination of the dark ages.

"The tail end of that is what we're seeing," Windhorst says of the latest Hubble and Sloan survey observations.

The first black holes

Scientists once imagined galaxies forming by a sort of monolithic collapse, in which a giant cloud of gas suddenly fell inward. The modern view is one of "hierarchical merging," in which bits and pieces build up over time. A rough outline of how it all went down is fairly well agreed upon.

Which Black Hole Anchors a Galaxy?

"It may be a question of being in the right place at the right time. It could be accidental."

-- Roger Blandford
Caltech

The initial ripples in space drew together into knots and filaments, locally and over broader scales. Individual clumps of gas collapsed, and stars were born.

The first stars must have been massive, perhaps 200 times the weight of our Sun or more. They would have been almost pure hydrogen -- the primary ingredient of thermonuclear fusion, which makes a star shine.

Massive stars are known to die young. Some survive just 10 million years (the Sun is 4.6 billion years old and just reaching middle-age). A colossal explosion occurs, sending newly forged, heavier elements into space. Remaining material collapses. A mass equal to many stars might end up in a ball no larger than a city. The result: a stellar black hole. These object are so dense that nothing, not even light, escapes once inside a sphere of influence known as an event horizon.

Stellar gravity wells can weigh as little as a few suns. But the inaugural versions might have been 100 times as massive as the Sun or more.

During all these tens and hundreds of millions of years, more stars are being born from the detritus of the first stars. Locally denser regions of gas contract. Stars form groups of perhaps a few dozen, which might be attracted to other star clusters. Eventually, clusters of many thousands of stars develop and began to look and behave like something that could be called a sub-galaxy. Some probably harbored growing black holes near their centers.

Here, theory struggles. Intuition might suggest that many of these huge stellar black holes simply merged until one central object attained enough mass to drive the shape and future development of its galaxy.

If that intuition is right, however, which black hole became the center?

"It may be a question of being in the right place at the right time," says Roger Blandford, a theoretical astrophysicist at Caltech. "It could be accidental."


In fact, nobody knows for sure if the first super-sized black holes developed from a series of mergers -- several dozen solar masses becomes 200, then 1,000, then 10,000, and so on -- or if they collapsed from the condensing gas cloud. "Do they start from 100 solar masses or a million solar masses? That's a good question," Blandford said. "My personal guess is that they start from a few hundred solar masses, but that's a much more speculative business."


Elusive middleweights

Galaxy birth and development is a never-ending process, and clues to early black hole evolution are spread throughout our own galaxy and around the universe. Astronomers therefore examine modern-day cosmic creatures for clues to their ancestral roots.

Black holes are everywhere, for one thing. Millions of the stellar sort could litter our galaxy alone, based on early discoveries of a few.

If the mightiest black holes indeed developed out of the garden variety, then there ought to be some evidence lying around our cosmic backyard in the form of middleweight versions, one line of thinking goes.

A handful of astronomers are convinced they have found a couple of these missing links, and in fact are arguing their case this week at a conference in California. But the case of the middleweights is among the most controversial in all of astronomy.

"The existence of middleweight black holes is one of the big unanswered questions in this field," said Cambridge's Haehnelt. "The recent claimed detections are still very controversial."

Regardless, most experts agree middleweights would represent, at best, pocket change to the fully grown black hole, something like Microsoft's initial millions in annual revenue compared to the billions that poured into its coffers during the tech boom.

Collision in Progress


Located a "mere" 300 million light-years away, these colliding galaxies nicknamed The Mice will eventually merge into a single giant galaxy. Such mergers can generate a quasar phase of galactic evolution.
IMAGE: NASA/HUBBLE/STScI/H. Ford et al.

Researchers on both sides of the middleweight argument mostly agree that the bulk of a jumbo black hole doesn't come through early mergers. Once a critical mass is achieved -- and this appears to coincide with a point in time prior to what astronomers can see today -- a black hole seems to gain most of its mass by swallowing gas from its environment.

Amid all the squabbling over middleweights looms the likelihood of much larger merger candidates.

Mega-mergers

Galaxy merging is almost a given. It is thought to have contributed significantly to the past growth of the Milky Way, for example. The early universe, having not yet expanded much, was incredibly crowded. Like racked billiard balls, nascent galaxies were more likely to collide.

If two galaxies merge, so should their black holes. Recent computer modeling speculates the event would be violent, unleashing tremendous light as gas is trapped between the two black holes and then rushes toward the more massive one.

Galactic mergers take millions of years, so they can't readily be observed in progress.

A recent peek into a nearby galaxy provided evidence for the scenario, however. At the heart of galaxy NGC 6240 astronomers found not one but two black holes, roughly 3,000 light-years apart and closing on an apparent merger course. The Chandra X-ray Observatory observations show that NGC 6240 is actually two galaxies that started joining forces about 30 million years ago.

Feeding the Beast

"Interactions and mergers are an excellent way to dump a lot of gas into the center of a galaxy."

-- Richard Larson
Yale University

Other indications of mega-mergers come from relatively nearby quasars.

Richard Larson, a Yale astronomer who studies star formation in galactic nuclei, says galaxies can go through several quasar phases during their lives. In studying quasars at more reasonable distances (which also means not so far in the past), he consistently sees signs of recent galaxy mergers or other large-scale interactions that served as triggers.

"Interactions and mergers are an excellent way to dump a lot of gas into the center of a galaxy," Larson explains. "The first thing this gas does is suddenly form huge numbers of stars."

Bursts of intense star formation seem to last about 10 million to 20 million years around a typical quasar.

Some of the gas that does not go into generating stars falls on in to the black hole. This violent phase of consumption is the one that is readily observed, because the castoff energy turns the incoming gas and dust into a glowing cloud. Eventually, the chaos settles and the new stars become visible. Later, the quasar itself is left naked. Finally, it goes dormant.

Further Reading

Filaments and nodes of matter that led to the first galaxies.

Galaxy Birth

OUR TANGLED UNIVERSE : How the First Galaxies Were Born
22 May 2001: Were Sherlock Holmes a cosmologist, he might have said, "It's filamentary, my dear Watson."

EARLY RIPPLES: New Observations of Early Universe Help Confirm Theories of Formation
23 May 2002: The most detailed glimpse ever gained of the early universe shows ripples in space back before there were any stars. This finding adds support to theories of how the universe began in an initial Big Bang, inflated rapidly, then developed the first galaxies.


Star Birth

HOW A STAR IS BORN: Clouds Lift on Missing Link
16 January 2001: Using a surprisingly simple technique, astronomers have illuminated a missing link in our understanding of the earliest period of star formation.

SOME HELP : How Dark Matter Helped Build the First Star
15 November 2001: Astronomers have created a computer simulation showing how the first star in the universe might have formed, helping to plug a gap in understanding of the timeline of the early cosmos.


Black Holes

CRAZY: Black Hole Appears, Disappears, and May Return
20 January 2003: When working with big numbers and data from faraway places, small errors can have huge consequences. Black holes, for example, can seem to pop in and out of existence, only to possibly materialize yet again.

MERGERS: How Galactic Collisions Fed Black Holes
05 June 2001: The crowded early cosmos offered many free lunches to a growing galaxy. Space was tight. Collisions were frequent. Astronomers figure that the galaxy gobbling that resulted also served as a gravy train for black holes. A new image supports the idea.

SPIN: Like Stars, Black Holes Rotate
01 May 2001: While scientists are nearly certain that matter spins violently into the vortex of a black hole, new research shows that a black hole itself can rotate, just like a star.

MUSIC: The Sounds of Black Holes
09 April 2002: A CD of black hole music most likely can't compete with Britney Spears or the Soggy Bottom Boys, but a new study shows these venerable gravity instruments produce complex tunes whose underlying principles are remarkably similar to pop, bluegrass, classical or any other style you might think of.

Archive of Black Hole News>>>


Dark Matter

WHAT IS IT? Good question
08 January 2002: "We’ve known that it exists for more than 25 years," says astronomer Virginia Trimble of the University of California Irvine. "But we don’t know what the hell it is."

NEW STUDY: Mystery Matter Helped Build First Galaxies
22 January 2003: Possible direct evidence has been provided illustrating the theory that the earliest galaxies developed quickly -- and to surprisingly massive proportions -- with the help of mysterious and invisible dark matter

FINDING SOME: First Direct Observation of Dark Matter
22 March 2001: More than three dozen elusive white dwarf stars have been found in a halo of objects surrounding our galaxy, marking the first direct evidence for previously unseen "dark matter" and lending support to a widely held theory that there is much more to the universe than meets the eye.

Larson figures this scenario for black hole feeding probably applies to the most distant quasars, too. And it supports the notion that black holes do in fact gain most of their bulk by accreting gas.

Fresh spin

To sort out the specifics of co-evolution, astronomers will need to see more of the universe and inspect it in greater detail. The prospects are good, especially toward the end of this decade.

A project called LISA (Laser Interferometer Space Antenna) would search for "gravitational waves" kicked up in the aftermath of black hole mergers, perhaps proving that such colossal collisions do occur. The NASA satellite is tentatively slated for launch in 2008.

A vastly improved understanding of dark matter is also needed. Several telescopes should contribute to this effort, but since no one knows what the stuff is, forecasting any sort of resolution is highly speculative.

And the specific mechanics of black holes must be investigated fully. For now, theorists don't even know exactly how matter is shuttled inward and consumed. Much of this work can be done by observing the nearby universe.

Roger Blandford, the Caltech theoretician, has suggested a novel way to prove that early mergers were not serious contributors to black hole growth. Blandford says two primary parameters characterize black holes. Mass is the most obvious. A more subtle measurement is spin.

Yes, black holes seem to spin. The idea only emerged from theory to relatively firm observationsin May of 2001, and it remains unproven.

But if spin can be proved a universal aspect of black holes, then the rate of spin can be used to infer something very important about a black hole's history.

"If black holes grow by merging, by combinations of black holes, they should spin down quite quickly," Blandford explains. "This then becomes a fairly good argument that, if you can show that black holes really are spinning rapidly, they probably didn't grow by merging, but would have grown by accreting gas."

Most important, vision simply must be extended further back in time, beyond the quasars that are now being studied, says Karl Gebhardt, a University of Texas astronomer and a member of Richstone's team.

"They're essentially the tip of the iceberg," Gebhardt says of the objects so far observed. "We are projecting from what we see in a very special number of objects to the whole sample. That is part of the problem of the uncertainty now."

Hubble may extend current vision a bit, but the next boon in deep-space discovery will likely have to wait for the James Web Space Telescope, planned for launch in 2010. Billed as the "first-light machine," the JWST will be Hubble on steroids, and it should muscle its way to a better view of a good portion of the cosmic dark ages.

It is ironic to think that when JWST goes up, many astronomers and cosmologists will be banking on black holes to light the way to a scientific account of the earliest epoch of the visible universe, an obscure time they have long dreamed about and can now, almost, see.

This view of the volcanic plains of Neptune's moon Triton was made from topographic mapping of images obtained by NASA's Voyager spacecraft during its

Japan Launches Space Cargo Ship on Maiden Flight


Japan's first space cargo ship soared into orbit Thursday to begin its maiden cruise to the International Space Station.

The inaugural H-2 Transfer Vehicle (HTV-1) blazed into a predawn sky above its seaside launch pad at the Tanegashima Space Center in southern Japan, where the local time was 2:01 a.m. Friday at the time of liftoff. It was still Thursday in the United States, where NASA officials at space station Mission Control in Houston and other centers monitored the launch.

The launch occurred at 1:01 p.m. EDT (1701 GMT), just hours before the planned evening landing of NASA's space shuttle Discovery and a crew of seven astronauts in Florida. The shuttle is returning from its own delivery mission to the space station and is scheduled to land at 7:05 p.m. EDT (2305 GMT), weather permitting.

"HTV-1 is opening up new horizons for JAXA's undertaking of human spaceflight," said Masazumi Miyake, deputy director of JAXA's Houston office, before launch. "I like to say that JAXA is now entering a new era."

Built for the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA), HTV-1 blasted off atop a brand new H-2B rocket, the country's most powerful booster to date. About 15 minutes after liftoff, the cargo ship separated from the rocket's second stage and began the week-long trek to the space station.

"HTV separation!" JAXA's Mission Control reported in a broadcast as applause rang out.

If all goes well, the cargo ship should arrive at the orbiting laboratory Sept. 17 after a series of rendezvous and abort system tests.

Japan's HTV spacecraft is about 33 feet (10 meters) long, 14 feet (4.4 meters) wide and designed to haul up to six tons of supplies to the space station. It is covered in solar panels for power and designed to fly on the equally new H-2B booster rocket, which is derived from Japan's workhorse H-2A rocket family.

Japan's space firsts

The $220 million HTV spacecraft has been in development in Japan since 1997 and JAXA has spent about $680 million overall to bring it to reality, JAXA officials have said. It is the latest in a series of international cargo ships from Russia and Europe that haul vital supplies to the space station.

"It's an amazing vehicle and it's a pleasure to have it in the fleet," said Mike Suffredini, NASA's space station program manager.

Suffredini said there are a number of spaceflight firsts that come with Japan's HTV. It is the first vehicle since NASA's space shuttle that can haul supplies and equipment for both the inside and exterior of the space station.

The HTV is also the first space freighter to fly to the American side of the space station and the first one not designed to dock itself at the station. Instead, an astronaut inside the orbiting lab will grab the 16 1/2-ton spacecraft using the station's robotic arm. That capability, NASA officials said, is vital since future commercial cargo ships are expected to be grappled in the same way.

The cargo ship is Japan's newest contribution to the space station. JAXA built the station's massive laboratory Kibo, which means "Hope" in Japanese. Construction of that $1 billion lab, which is as large as a tour bus, was completed in July. It has its own robotic arm, small airlock, external science porch and an attic storage room.

For its inaugural mission, the HTV-1's pressurized section has been packed with about 3 1/2 tons of supplies that include food, laptop computers and a smaller robotic arm for the Kibo lab to be used for delicate operations. An external payload drawer is loaded with two experiments to be attached to the Kibo module's porch.

If the HTV-1's week of rendezvous tests go well, the spacecraft will be directed to fly within about 33 feet (10 meters) of the station so NASA astronaut Nicole Stott can grab it with the outpost's robotic arm.

"My understanding of the hardware is that it's going to be a very stable vehicle," Stott said earlier this month. "I think the excitement of it is that it really is this new capability for us."

JAXA will watch over the HTV mission from its Tsukuba Space Center in Tsukuba, Japan, which is also home to the agency's Kibo mission operations center.